Prophet Probability Tracker
Statistical analysis of succession probabilities in the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles
Last updated: December 4, 2025 at 10:39 AM
ℹ️ About This Tool
This application uses actuarial science and Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 runs) to estimate the probability that each apostle will eventually become President of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Calculations are based on current ages, seniority (ordination dates), and CDC life expectancy data.
Current Age of Apostles
Ordered by seniority (ordination date)
Succession Probability
Based on actuarial life expectancy modeling
⚠️ Disclaimer: These probabilities are statistical estimates for educational purposes only. They do not represent official church doctrine or predictions. Apostolic succession is determined by seniority and inspiration, not probability.
Prophet Probability Tracker | Statistical analysis for educational purposes only
Not affiliated with The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints | View on GitHub